Archive for February, 2010

Investors With Cash Squeezing Out Home Buyers

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

LOS ANGELES (AP) — Melissa Hughett and her husband set out to buy their first home in the best buyer’s market in years, confident they would land a deal within a few months.

The couple put offers on several homes, but lost them all to rivals who weren’t offering more money — just a lot more cash.

“Each time somebody came in and put $100,000 down in cash and scooped up the property or they had enough money to pay for the whole property in cash,” said Hughett, 30. “It’s agonizing.”

Would-be homebuyers, armed only with financing, are competing with real estate investors with the means to pay for a home in cash. Often, the all-cash buyers are edging out everyone else, leaving many frustrated at a time when lower prices and tax incentives favor buyers.

The market scuffle is happening primarily over heavily discounted foreclosed homes and other properties typically under $300,000, or even well below $100,000 in some markets. These homes are attractive to investors seeking a good return and first-time buyers looking for an affordable home.

The trend is most pronounced in areas of California, Florida, Arizona, Nevada and elsewhere where home prices have dropped sharply and foreclosures make up a large slice of homes for sales in many metro areas. In Las Vegas and Phoenix, for example, foreclosures accounted for more than half of all home resales in December, according to MDA DataQuick.

Although getting financing for heavily damaged foreclosures can be difficult, there’s still a healthy competition. Ultimately, cash is king.

“Even though a first-time buyer may be offering the same price as an investor, or a higher price, the investor has the edge,” said Jed Smith, a researcher for the National Association of Realtors. “The investor may actually pay less, but it’s cash, right now.”

Across the country, some 22 percent of all previously owned homes sold in December were purchased entirely with cash, up from 16 percent a year earlier. That’s the highest level since March and April, when all-cash purchases made up 30 percent of sales, according to a survey by the trade association.

That rate jumps even higher in metro areas where foreclosures have driven home prices down sharply.

In Las Vegas, all-cash transactions accounted for nearly 46 percent of all sales in December, up from 33 percent a year earlier, according to MDA DataQuick. In Miami, they were 54 percent of sales, an 8 percent increase. While in Southern California, they accounted for a quarter of sales, an increase of 2 percent.

“I’ve never seen so many cash transactions in my career as I have in this market,” said Stephanie Vitacco, a Coldwell Banker agent in Woodland Hills, Calif., with 20 years in the business.

Making matters worse, the inventory of homes for sale is down in many markets. That’s due in part to banks delaying the foreclosure process as troubled homeowners are evaluated for loan modification assistance. It has all made the competition for the most affordable properties even fiercer.

Many of the cash buyers are groups of people who have pooled their money to buy foreclosures and flip them or turn them into rentals. Another large segment consists of homeowners looking for a vacation property. It’s possible that some cash buyers will turn around and take out a mortgage later.

Sellers favor all-cash or cash-heavy deals because it speeds up the closing process and makes it more likely the transaction won’t fall through. One common concern when a loan is necessary is that the property appraisal could come in too low for the bank to approve the deal. It’s a pitfall that’s become more common as home values have fallen.

“Even if the offers are comparable, a seller will go with all cash all of the time,” said James Joseph, who owns Century 21 and Coldwell Banker real estate offices in Southern California. “They don’t have to worry about an appraisal.”

Hoping to circumvent competition from investors, Hughett approached family friends about buying their three-bedroom, two-bath house for $340,000. The owners had yet to put the home for sale.

“That’s the only way we can get in,” said Hughett. This way she and her husband are sure there won’t be another buyer “coming in and dropping a large amount of cash.”

Homebuyers who can’t afford to pay cash are at a disadvantage. But experts say there are some steps homebuyers can take to boost the chances:

— Get a financing prequalification letter from a lender for an amount that’s 20 percent higher than the price they’re offering the seller.

— Come up with a large down payment in the 20 percent range.

— Look for HUD properties. Only noninvestors are allowed to make offers on HUD properties during the first five days that they hit the market. That gives buyers a head start over investors or those looking for second homes.

— Ask a real estate agent to get a list of recently repossessed properties being prepared for sale. It can take several weeks before these homes hit the market. That’s because the bank’s agent can’t officially advertise the home until it’s ready to be sold. But agents can ask for details on these foreclosures and get their clients ready to pounce.

— Write a letter to the seller or bank handling a foreclosure sale and make a case for why they should sell you the property — anything to make you stand out as a potential buyer.

Source: Foster’s Daily Democrat

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Shadow Inventory of Homes to Take Nearly 3 Years to Clear

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

Shadow Inventory of Homes to Take Nearly 3 Years to Clear: S&P
Posted By JON PRIOR On February 16, 2010 (1:03 pm) In Servicing/Default, Slider, Top Stories

The “shadow inventory” of bank-repossessed properties, as well as distressed mortgages facing foreclosure, will take nearly three years to clear at the current sales rate, according to a report from the credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P). The analysts add that during this period many servicers will likely shift their emphasis from mortgage modification to loan liquidation.

The “shadow inventory” of homes includes all delinquent loans and real-estate owned (REO) property that has not reached the market. REO property are foreclosed homes taken back by the bank for liquidation. As for the total amount of homes in the shadow inventory, Amherst Securities places the total at 7m. The Royal Bank of Scotland found 2.7m, and First American CoreLogic counted 1.7m.

S&P estimates the inventory to equal a 33-month supply of homes. Analysts added the estimate is actually conservative, as they did not assume homes not showing signs of distress would default and push the overhang of supply even further.

Furthermore, court delays, political pressure and servicing backlogs constricted the flow of foreclosures hitting the market to a trickle. These delinquent borrowers who have not received a foreclosure fuel the “rapidly” growing shadow inventory of properties, according to the report.

“Overall, it is our opinion that recent positive housing reports should not be construed as a sign that the distress in the residential housing market is abating, but rather should be attributed to the temporarily limited supply of homes on the market,” according to the report.

Another credit rating agency, Moody’s, showed that the underwhelming performance of the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), which the US Treasury Department launched in March 2009 to give incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure, will drive down housing prices another 8% from Q409 to the end of 2010.

According to the S&P report, homes are falling into serious delinquency faster than REO transactions are closing. The total balance of seriously delinquent loans reached well over $400bn through November 2009, while the balance of REO properties reached its peak in September 2008 and declined to $50bn. On average, $14.5bn of seriously delinquent loans or REO property liquidates each month. According to the report, it will take 29 months to clear this supply of homes:

The other four months worth of supply comes from re-defaults on delinquent loans currently cured – or brought back to current status through a loan modification. Following current trends, S&P analysts predict that 70% of the cured loans will re-default. The total balance of these re-defaulting loans and the current amount of serious distressed loans will reach $473.4bn, nearly 30% of the total outstanding balance on all privately securitized loans.

With the launch of HAMP, servicers shifted strategy from liquidation to modification. The amount of loans that progressed from seriously delinquent to REO fell to 28% in Spring 2009 from 58% in June 2008. In that time, seriously delinquent loans that cured went from 32% to 58%, according to the report. But analysts found that this shift was only temporary.

“We believe that the recent constriction in the supply of foreclosed homes on the market is a temporary one,” claim the analysts.

“Loan modifications and the observed extension of time distressed loans remained as such may simply have delayed the inevitable, creating the demonstrated shadow inventory of troubled loans,” they wrote. “Ultimately, the majority of the properties these distressed loans represent will likely have to be liquidated.”

Write to Jon Prior.

Article taken from HousingWire – http://www.housingwire.com
URL to article: http://www.housingwire.com/2010/02/16/shadow-inventory-of-homes-to-take-nearly-3-years-to-clear-sp/

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Workers Failing to Save Enough for Expected Retirement Lifestyle

Friday, February 12th, 2010

Workers Failing to Save Enough for Expected Retirement Lifestyle, Wells Fargo Study Finds Women More Likely to Feel Affected by Economic Downturn and Less Certain About Retirement – Press Releases – CNBC.com.

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Take Advantage of the Tax Credit Before Its Too Late!

Friday, February 12th, 2010

Home Buyers Rush to Take Advantage of Tax Credit Before It’s Gone | RISMedia

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February 2010 Newsletter

Monday, February 1st, 2010

Here is a link to my “February Real Estate Update“:

This Newsletter is full of interesting and useful information that I think you will enjoy whether you are a buyer, seller, homeowner, or renter.

This month’s issue includes topics such as:

“Sell Faster When You Understand The Buyers Mindset”;

“Exterior Remodeling Proves Best Bang for Your Buck”;

“Homebuyer Tax Credit Boosts Economy”;

“Is Your Credit Score as High as You Think?”;

“What To Take And What To Leave Behind When Downsizing”;

Plus a roundup of January real estate activity as well as much more advice and information.

I hope you enjoy this monthly newsletter. If you have any comments, please e-mail them to me. Or, if you would like to see a certain topic covered in future months, let me know that too!

Sincerely,

Rob Cassam

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